The View From 1776

Whither Russia?

Bob Stapler essays an overview of Russia’s evolving relations with the world.

Posted by .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address) on 02/29 at 06:33 PM
  1. Excellent Bob.
    We have to remember that due to "our example," democracy is out of favor in many places and may soon be out of favor here if we have the currency and economic collapse some are saying will happen either as a result of this current crisis or as a result of what we are doing to correct it. That correction of a problem caused by too much debt is more debt. As nutty as that sounds, it may actually be the only way to avoid a recession or depression at this time.

    However, if we do, we also maintain our energy consumption and the world's demand will continue to rapidly rise. In a few years if current trends continue, a recession or depression here will only slow growth globally. It depends on how fast the world's middle class consumer rises in numbers. I think OPEC, Russia and others are all viewing the growth in demand as a given at the same time getting oil from miles deep offshore fields slows how fast new production can replace rapidly declining fields in the North Sea, Mexico, Alaska, etc. Some even believe OPEC fields are maxed out and have over reported reserves to keep their country's production high (because of rationing of production quotas based on reported reserves for each member to keep them all in production for an equal time to be fair and avoid "competition" between memebers).

    Whatever the reasons, more and more oil producing nations are looking at rationing and some are even looking at "contracts" with set prices tied to an "inflation calculator" where for years the supply goes to the same customers instead of being sold on the open market. Both the customer and the producer then know exactly what they will have to budget for. They also want to limit production so that they make enough for needs of the economy but, don't run out for many decades. Those things are going to affect a large consumer like us more than others where we aren't used to high prices for energy and we waste a lot in our consumption habits with larger cars and homes and spending.

    I believe, and this is sad, that democracy is pretty much toast as a form of government. First, democracies always fail once people start voting themselves benefits. If you have a system like we did, a republic of competing democracies that acted like a check on democracy's frailties, the people found a way to destroy the checks. The elite used the Federal Reserve Act and the people used the ratification of the 16th and 17th Amendments to eliminate other checks.

    Russia, China, and others are using top down control as a check on democracy's ability to vote benefits. They "ration" benefits and do what is best for the health of the nation as a whole even if some individuals suffer from it.

    The other thing is U.S. foreign policy. Russia still harbors many hard feeling for U.S. uses of terrorists, rogue governments and funding and selling of weapons to people who attacked Russia economically and physically. Now, they see allying with Iran, China, and Venezuela as pay back. They also would like nothing better than a slow demise of the dollar, our economy and our power in the world and working very hard to do that slow enough they don't have a sudden collapse of the currency. Oil, being the basis of value for the dollar is a tactic I believe, you will see used more.
    Posted by JanPBurr  on  03/01  at  11:46 AM
  2. With their oil wealth, they are talking about selling some of their oil in rubles. In the last two years the ruble has risen 17% and if they start selling any oil in rubles, it will rise even faster, or rather the dollar will drop faster. Selling oil in dollars creates demand for dollars and any drops in demand for dollars means the value drop. We have seen that with the oil sales in euros and yen and bartering of Iraq, Iran and Venezuela. Now, pressures on the dollar are also coming from nations "depegging" from the dollar which appears like it will continue.

    Russia and China are spending on military not because they are going to start a war but because they believe we will start a war. It doesn't matter if they are wrong or not. They view the U.S. as a war nation with a war economy. It is that "war economy" they hope to bring us down with. Keep us spending on terrorism and wars and military while manufacturing leaves and financial services leave and R&D leaves, etc. Without firing a shot, they believe they can bring us down and oil wealth is an important weapon that they have many allies in. Even many nations, like Saudi Arabia that lowers interest rates when we do and keeps OPEC partially in line and pegs to the dollar is becoming more and more concerned about the U.S. dollar, inflation, and our economy. We made them wealthy beyond their dreams with Kissenger's 1971 deal. But, now the whole world is buying oil and our value to them and their wealth is becoming less as well as an inflation problem. They too, may soon decide Russia is a better ally than we are.

    Russia deals with both Saudi Arabia and Iran and Saudi Arabia may decide that as a "mediator" and "peace keeper" between Sunni and Shiite, Russia may be better than the U.S. if its power continues to rise.

    We have been covering some of this on the Tree of Liberty Forum There is so much going on with our economy, global shifts in power, energy, the North American Economic Community, tax revenues, etc. that it is amazing how interrelated so many things are. People are treating symptoms often, like trade, health care, tax revenues, etc. as problems, when the real problem, our system of government goes on unchecked creating one crisis after another.
    Posted by JanPBurr  on  03/01  at  11:49 AM
  3. svze642ka100sot7
    <a >Ice Rink Liners</a>
    <a >Strategic Partnership Alliance Checklist</a>
    <a >Minnesota Vioxx Lawyers</a>
    <a >Zenith Tv Remote</a>
    <a >Natuzzi Leather Sofa</a>
    <a >Advertising Agency Nj</a>
    <a >Super 8 Coupons</a>
    <a >Lamp Post For Outside Yard Lights</a>
    <a >Band Saw Tire</a>
    <a >Mineral Hot Springs Spa</a>
    <a >Seattle Woodland Park Reservation</a>
    <a >New Fine Arts</a>
    <a >Palm Pilot Training</a>
    <a >Health Fair Letter</a>
    <a >Night Club Lighting</a>
    <a >Realitors And Dallas Tx</a>
    <a >Geiger Key Resort</a>
    <a >Voy Electric Bicycle</a>
    <a >Ma Wedding Dj</a>
    <a >White Rodger Thermostat 240 Volt</a>
    <a >An Encyclopedia Of Classic Cars History</a>
    <a >Ribbon Embroidery</a>
    <a >New Psp Sony</a>
    <a >Marriage Problems Signs</a>
    <a >Critical Thinking Activities</a>
    <a >Archives Of The Fast Company Magazine</a>
    <a >American Lubricants Co</a>
    <a >Digital 600 Watt Grow Lights</a>
    <a >Work From Home Sites</a>
    <a >Natural Beauty Recipes</a>
    <a >Edmonton Gas Prices</a>
    <a >Pam And Bret Michaels</a>
    <a >Pictures Of Donald Duck</a>
    <a >Acs Organic Chemistry Division</a>
    <a >Livermore Family Dentistry</a>
    <a >Feed Storage Bins</a>
    <a >University Of South Al</a>
    <a >Prayer Book Development English Language</a>
    <a >Creme De La Mer Discounts</a>
    <a >Respiratory Registry San Francisco</a>
    <a >Barbie Doll Free Pattern Groups</a>
    <a >Pictures Of A Fruit Fly</a>
    <a >Masters Degree Online Programs</a>
    <a >Dvd Ripper For Ipod</a>
    <a >Creative Labs Zen Nano 512mb Reviews</a>
    <a >Rss News Free Feed</a>
    <a >Adaptive Physical Education</a>
    <a >Hypnosis For Weight Loss</a>
    <a >Ralph Lauren Purse</a>
    <a >Radio Shack Remote</a>
    <a >Forbidden Planet New Oxfo</a>
    <a >Cdl Class B Test For West Virginia</a>
    <a >Battery Pack</a>
    <a >Teaching Ideas For Reading Activities</a>
    <a >Whitman College Employment</a>
    <a >Help U Sell Of Salina Ks</a>
    <a >Coleman Lantern 286-700</a>
    <a >How Many Keys Does A Piano Have</a>
    <a >Dream Theater The Official Site</a>
    <a >Masters Degree Homeland Security</a>
    Posted by Shirley Holmes  on  12/26  at  06:54 AM
  4. svze642ka100sot7
    <a >Free Godfather Ringtones</a>
    <a >Cannon Beach Web Cam</a>
    <a >Pine Mountain Logs</a>
    <a >Saddam Hussein Execution Full Video</a>
    <a >List Of Calories In Food</a>
    <a >Driver Parallel Lines Cheat Codes</a>
    <a >Antique French Textile</a>
    <a >Why Pilgrams Came To America</a>
    <a >Turbo D Series</a>
    <a >Crown Victoria Car</a>
    <a >Utc Time Conversion</a>
    <a >Free Downloadable System Cleaner</a>
    <a >Dan Marino Raiders</a>
    <a >Wholesale Western Decor</a>
    <a >Artificial Intelligence Robotics</a>
    <a >Classic Rock Band</a>
    <a >Stretch Denim Jeans</a>
    <a >Ada Wheelchair Ramp</a>
    <a >Super Bowl Tickets 2007</a>
    <a >Creative Labs Zen Nano 512mb Reviews</a>
    <a >Miami 911 Center</a>
    <a >Short Bus For Sale</a>
    <a >Java Lake Christmas Cards</a>
    <a >Silent Film Industry</a>
    <a >Hawaii Hotel Accommodation</a>
    <a >Auto Purchase Review</a>
    <a >Teen Titans Movie</a>
    <a >Domain Name Sales</a>
    <a >Open Source Content Management</a>
    <a >Kansas Legal Forms</a>
    <a >Dog Bed With Cedar Shavings</a>
    <a >Design Tech Office Products Inc</a>
    <a >Background Charge Check Free No</a>
    <a >American Classic Bicycle Wheels</a>
    <a >South Puget Sound Schooling Show</a>
    <a >What Is Tax Evasion</a>
    <a >Guide To Writing And Research Umuc</a>
    <a >Best Salt Water Aquarium Site</a>
    <a >Homewise Home Inspections</a>
    <a >Satellite Sky Tv Understanding</a>
    <a >Personality Birth Order</a>
    <a >80cc 2 Cycle 3.5 H.p. Gas Engine</a>
    <a >Constipation Diet High Protein</a>
    <a >Download Ringtones Motorola I730</a>
    <a >Missoula Rental Market Analysis</a>
    <a >Florida Teacher Certification Test</a>
    <a >Csi Season Primere 2007 Full Episode</a>
    <a >Round Four Piece Dining Tables</a>
    <a >Why Dogs Get Diarrhea</a>
    <a >Properties Of Water</a>
    <a >Toyota Tundra Rumors</a>
    <a >Modern Mens Jewelry</a>
    <a >Las Vegas Family Entertainment</a>
    <a >Olde Masters Golf</a>
    <a >Private Equity Fund</a>
    <a >Multi Vitamin Supplements</a>
    <a >Incubation Period For Oral Ngu</a>
    <a >Bruce Robert</a>
    <a >Jobs Search Engines</a>
    <a >The Entertainment Book</a>
    Posted by Rebekah Barry  on  12/26  at  05:03 PM
  5. svze642ka100sot7
    <a >Catholic Patron Saints</a>
    <a >Walter Winchell Biography</a>
    <a >How To Tell If She Is Attracted To You</a>
    <a >Carmen Electra Fakes</a>
    <a >K2 Elliptical Trainer</a>
    <a >Wedding Flower Arrangement</a>
    <a >Alaska Executive Search</a>
    <a >Lyrics To I Wanna Be A Rockstar</a>
    <a >Jensen Ackles Stephanie Ware</a>
    <a >Michael Vick Genital Herpes</a>
    <a >Saga Guitar Pictures</a>
    <a >Language Arts Lesson Plants 1st Grade</a>
    <a >Male Performers Known By One Name Only</a>
    <a >20 In Chinese Language</a>
    <a >Aztec Social Structure</a>
    <a >Lyrics To My Boyfriend's Back</a>
    <a >Blue Mountain Ecard</a>
    <a >Recaro Trans Am</a>
    <a >Smallest 9mm Pistol</a>
    <a >Humanism Literary Criticism</a>
    <a >Day Trips In Tennessee</a>
    <a >Free Advice On Asking Girls Out</a>
    <a >Houston Apartments Heights</a>
    <a >Myspace Comment Pics</a>
    <a >Wiring 6 Subwoofers</a>
    <a >Quality Assurance Career</a>
    <a >Alabama License Plate</a>
    <a >Tekken 3 Cheats</a>
    <a >Airforce Personnel Locator</a>
    <a >Pueblos At Taos Nm</a>
    <a >Zwelleger Gas Detection</a>
    <a >Lake Shore Hospital</a>
    <a >Inexpensive Keynote Speaker</a>
    <a >Green White Striped Tights</a>
    <a >Fort Collins Dentist</a>
    <a >Compound Bows Making Adjustments</a>
    <a >Casio Exilim Ex-z60</a>
    <a >Atlanta Culinary Arts</a>
    <a >Plumbing Vent Stacks</a>
    <a >Unicorn Dart Boards</a>
    <a >The Nile River Delta</a>
    <a >Drive Rubber Bands</a>
    <a >Chicken Parmesan Resipes</a>
    <a >Where You Can Watch Tv Online</a>
    <a >Eric Clapton My Fathers Eyes</a>
    <a >Rohnert Park Bar And Cafe</a>
    <a >Ideal Test Equipment</a>
    <a >Project Software Free</a>
    <a >Weird Science Experiments For Kids</a>
    <a >When Were Kids Push Cars Invented</a>
    <a >Craig List Seattle</a>
    <a >Web Site Design Scotland</a>
    <a >Kansas Wildlife Parks</a>
    <a >Religious Clip Art Free</a>
    <a >Cool Wall Tapestries</a>
    <a >Florida Non-profit List</a>
    <a >Missouri Plastic Surgeon</a>
    <a >Ratings Of Suzuki Grand Vitara</a>
    <a >Apartment Hotels Christchurch</a>
    <a >Marquee Theater Phoenix</a>
    Posted by Delbert Villarreal  on  12/27  at  02:18 AM
  6. svze642ka100sot7
    <a >Ice Skating In Renaissance</a>
    <a >Specialty Door Knobs</a>
    <a >Eye Exam Equipment</a>
    <a >Portable Electric Power</a>
    <a >Stories About Women Being Spanked</a>
    <a >Afternoon Tea In Chicago Hotels</a>
    <a >New South Wales Australia Map</a>
    <a >Jobs Cruise Lines</a>
    <a >Teflon Heat Shrink Tubing</a>
    <a >Pledge Of Allegiance Red Skeleton</a>
    <a >History Kodak Paper</a>
    <a >Wi Fi Granbury Tx</a>
    <a >Ncaa Hockey Apparel</a>
    <a >Family Social Problems</a>
    <a >Neponsit Real Estate</a>
    <a >Portage Township Schools</a>
    <a >Printable Puzzels And Mazes Fun Sheets</a>
    <a >Playhouse Bed</a>
    <a >Real Estate Portland Or</a>
    <a >Hospital Ceo</a>
    <a >Powerpoint Background Africa</a>
    <a >Led Safty Arm Band</a>
    <a >Speech Language Therapy And Iep</a>
    <a >Billboard Co Uk</a>
    <a >Signs Of The Times</a>
    <a >New Jersey Nets</a>
    <a >Cheap Bean Bag Toss</a>
    <a >Antique Iron Wheels</a>
    <a >Lyrics Third Eye Blind</a>
    <a >Coral Gables High Class Of 1966</a>
    <a >Synthetic Oil Verses Mineral Oil</a>
    <a >Bachelor Degree From Home</a>
    <a >Scott Hamilton Biography</a>
    <a >73 Mustang Mach 1 Photos</a>
    <a >Queen Anne Pistol</a>
    <a >Jerry Spinelli Timeline</a>
    <a >Paul Mccartney And Heather Mills News</a>
    <a >Tracy Mcgrady Desktop Wallpaper</a>
    <a >Private Waco School</a>
    <a >Financial Investment Untaxable</a>
    <a >1978 Monte Carlo</a>
    <a >Satellite Images Free Earth</a>
    <a >Rock And Roll Boots</a>
    <a >Taylor Hicks Concert</a>
    <a >History Of Seattle Space Needle</a>
    <a >Hair Salons In Austin Texas</a>
    <a >Pictures Of Great White Shark</a>
    <a >Panasonic Projector Lamp</a>
    <a >Www Wellington Green Mall In Royal Palm</a>
    <a >What Is Cocaine Made From</a>
    <a >Monkey Bread Pot</a>
    <a >How To Block A Microsoft Update</a>
    <a >Free Aol Cd</a>
    <a >Sten Mark Ii Tube Magazine</a>
    <a >Leadership Training Seminar Colorado</a>
    <a >Cordless Floor Lamps</a>
    <a >Ultrasound On The Liver</a>
    <a >West Valley College</a>
    <a >Florida Privacy Law</a>
    <a >Search Results For Marry</a>
    Posted by Kathi Mann  on  12/27  at  08:09 AM
  7. svze642ka100sot7
    <a >Cooperstown Real Estate</a>
    <a >Paso Del Rio Association San Antonio Ex</a>
    <a >Leather Manufacturers Dallas Texas</a>
    <a >New Car Discount</a>
    <a >Daniel J. Gamino</a>
    <a >Greece Visa Application Form</a>
    <a >2006 Tax Organizer</a>
    <a >Insurance Auction Motorcycle</a>
    <a >Free Firewall Software</a>
    <a >Madison West High School</a>
    <a >Vancouver Canada Yellow Pages</a>
    <a >Domestic Air Travel Panama</a>
    <a >1980's Tv</a>
    <a >Fit Teen Model</a>
    <a >Barrys Bay Ontario</a>
    <a >Free Training Software</a>
    <a >Wedding Website Design</a>
    <a >Common Fashion Of The 80's</a>
    <a >Boston Expo Center</a>
    <a >Windows Explorer Tab Name Web Design</a>
    <a >Audio Recording</a>
    <a >Big Bear Arms</a>
    <a >Phoenix Insurance Company</a>
    <a >Christopher Christmas Tree Lyrics</a>
    <a >Mustang Cobra Hats</a>
    <a >Kingwood West Virginia</a>
    <a >Meet Single Women</a>
    <a >Holy Ghost Baptism Teaching Mp3 Tape</a>
    <a >Alison Krauss Bass Tab</a>
    <a >Adult Couples Home Web Sites</a>
    <a >Sample Appeal Letter Of Denial</a>
    <a >Turtle Bay Restaurant</a>
    <a >School Calendar For Download</a>
    <a >Dj Mix Competition</a>
    <a >Lake Charles La.</a>
    <a >Winchester Model 255</a>
    <a >Christmas Bazaar Ideas</a>
    <a >By The Bayou</a>
    <a >Free Jeff Gordon Desktop Items</a>
    <a >Boat Design Forum</a>
    <a >Scars Bass Tabs</a>
    <a >Palo Alto Speedometer</a>
    <a >Glass Dining Tables</a>
    <a >Landscape Design Rates</a>
    <a >How To Make Butter Elementary</a>
    <a >Kids Mothers Day Gifts To Make</a>
    <a >Marketing Enhancement Services</a>
    <a >Protec Truck Boxes</a>
    <a >Ukraine Flower Gift</a>
    <a >Truck Accident Lawyers Waterbury</a>
    <a >Old Antique Italian Butcher Block</a>
    <a >Kevlar Motorcycle Helmet</a>
    <a >American League Playoff Schedule</a>
    <a >Benjanin Moore Paint</a>
    <a >Cell Phone Texting</a>
    <a >1967 Chevy Malibu</a>
    <a >Glider Rockers Amish</a>
    <a >The Living End Lyrics</a>
    <a >Viper Pool Stick Official Site</a>
    <a >Lilo And Stitch Items</a>
    Posted by Nathan Baird  on  12/27  at  12:35 PM
  8. svze642ka100sot7
    <a >Grizzly Industrial Tools</a>
    <a >Toronto Ear Surgery</a>
    <a >Catholic Church Pew</a>
    <a >Wastewater Treatment Plants</a>
    <a >Midnight Sonata Everything Com</a>
    <a >Large Framed Mirrors</a>
    <a >Reverse Telephone Directories</a>
    <a >Jobs Hotel Translator</a>
    <a >Battery Backup Power Supply</a>
    <a >Elementary Free Printable</a>
    <a >Denver Tmd Treatment</a>
    <a >Car Seat Measurements</a>
    <a >Romantic Places In Georgia</a>
    <a >Thurston County Drug Offense Lawyer</a>
    <a >Ucan2 Credit Repair</a>
    <a >3 Dollar Bill</a>
    <a >My Name Is Mud</a>
    <a >Auxillary Gas Tanks</a>
    <a >Rocky Mountain Realty</a>
    <a >Airline Reservations Online France</a>
    <a >Rat Snake Picture</a>
    <a >Skin Rejuvenation Irving</a>
    <a >Name Brand Shoes For Women</a>
    <a >Windows Xp Theme Downloads</a>
    <a >Breast Cancer Support Groups For Kids</a>
    <a >Purdy Paint Brush</a>
    <a >Airfare Deals Array</a>
    <a >Terrorist Attack In Bali</a>
    <a >You Might Be A Redneck If</a>
    <a >Wholesale Baby Products</a>
    <a >Mazatlan Mexico Vacation Rental</a>
    <a >Big 5 Tire</a>
    <a >American Sentinel University</a>
    <a >Emachines Power Supply</a>
    <a >Hells Kitchen Restaurant</a>
    <a >Birthday Invitation Template</a>
    <a >Middle School Shakespeare</a>
    <a >When Will Kimmiey Slow Down</a>
    <a >Georgia Criminal Records</a>
    <a >Top 10 Best Colleges In Communication</a>
    <a >Farmington High School New Mexico</a>
    <a >Holiday Party Idea</a>
    <a >San Diego Rv Rentals</a>
    <a >Highwayman Willie Nelson</a>
    <a >Street Fight Videos Clips</a>
    <a >Marine Biologist Income</a>
    <a >Covered Utility Trailer</a>
    <a >Heat Recovery Ventilators</a>
    <a >California Society Of Enrolled Agents</a>
    <a >Library Of Virtual Manipulatives</a>
    <a >Lyrics To The Song</a>
    <a >Printable Diaper Coupons</a>
    <a >International Postal Rates</a>
    <a >Austin Powers Movies</a>
    <a >Miranda Real Estate Group Ny</a>
    <a >G E Capital Fleet Services</a>
    <a >Project Management Plans</a>
    <a >Business Website Marketing Uk</a>
    <a >Franchise Business Consultant</a>
    <a >All Types Of Beans</a>
    Posted by Suzy Kennedy  on  12/27  at  05:57 PM
Commenting is not available in this channel entry.