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Media & Opinion

Thursday, January 22, 2015

Main-Stream Media’s Tabloid Sensationalism

Wall Street Journal columnist Holman Jenkins uncovers the distortion and misrepresentation, either through ignorance or through propagandistic intention, characterizing main-stream media’s reporting of recent false claims that 2014 was the hottest year on record.

Climate Reporting’s Hot Mess
AP takes the cake in the relentless campaign by global-warming journalists to discredit their own profession.


By HOLMAN W. JENKINS, JR.
Jan. 20, 2015 8:07 p.m. ET


News reporting of the latest climate alarm was not uniformly bad. Among hundreds of publications in the Factiva database, exactly one—the Mail on Sunday, one of those derided London tabloids—injected the phrase “statistically significant” into consideration of whether 2014 was in any meaningful sense the “hottest year on record.”

A nonjournalistic source and not exactly an outfit of climate-change deniers, Berkeley Earth, also noted that, when it comes to 2014 and the other “hottest year” candidates, 2005 and 2010, the observed temperature difference was smaller than the margin of error by a factor of five, adding: “Therefore it is impossible to conclude from our analysis which of 2014, 2010, or 2005 was actually the warmest year.”

To its credit, the Washington Post alluded to the possibly more important fact that “rising temperatures have not kept pace with computer simulations that predicted even faster warming.”

The New York Times contributed nothing to reader enlightenment as usual, and the Associated Press committed a howler by claiming that “nine of the 10 hottest years in NOAA global records have occurred since 2000. The odds of this happening at random are about 650 million to 1, according to University of South Carolina statistician John Grego. ”

This might be true if Earth’s climate were dice, where rolling a six has no effect on the odds of the next roll being a six. But climate is a continuous process of incremental change. A unified theory of media idiocy on climate is beyond the scope of this column, but even someone with the apparently parched intellect of an AP editor should be able to look at National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration charts and notice that cool years are grouped with cool years, warm years with warm years, and in-between years with in-between years.

Either NOAA’s entire temperature history is a statistical anomaly of incomprehensible, galactic proportions—or AP has peddled itself a faulty assumption. And sure enough, Mr. Grego tells me AP specifically instructed him to assume “all years had the same probability of being ‘selected’ as one of the 10 hottest years on record.” This is akin to assuming that, because you weighed 195 pounds at some point in your life, there should be an equal chance of you weighing 195 pounds at any point in your life, even when you were a baby.

The real mystery, though, would be if the warmest years did not bunch up in the post-1998 period, given the sharp warming observed from the late 1970s to the late 1990s.

When climate reporters robotically insist, as they did again this week, that the 2000s represent the hottest period in the rather skimpy, 134-year historical record, they are merely reiterating that the pre-1998 warming happened. No clear trend up or down has been apparent since then.

The bigger problem, of course, is that evidence of warming is not evidence of what causes warming. One would be astonished if mankind, with its prodigious release of greenhouse gases and other activities, were not having an impact on climate. But how and how much are the crucial questions.

But all this is magisterially beside the point in a sense. If the decades have validated any set of propositions, it’s the following: Mankind is unlikely to do anything meaningful about carbon dioxide as a matter of concerted public policy, and anything it does will be in the service of domestic pork interests, having no impact on climate.

Even if humanity could assert bureaucratic control over climate, the cost-benefit case would remain problematic—the costs being huge and the benefits necessarily being as uncertain as man’s role in causing climate change.

A carbon tax as part of pro-growth tax reform is one measure that might pass a cost-benefit test, thanks mainly to the nonclimate benefits of tax reform. Alas, no sign exists that a quorum of countries is ready to march together down this road. President Obama this week decided to use the tax-reform opportunity to pursue partisan class-warfare themes rather than advance a carbon tax proposal in exchange for lower rates.

So the climate problem, if there’s a problem, likely won’t be solved by some supreme effort of global bureaucratic will. But one could easily imagine it being solved by the normal, unwilled progress of technology. A battery—pick a number—five or 10 times more efficient than today’s, holding more energy and charging and discharging faster, would so revolutionize world energy practices that scientists would have to consider how a sudden decline in human carbon-dioxide emissions might affect the climate.

Solar and wind collection don’t have to be particularly efficient if storage becomes efficient. More solar energy reaches the earth’s surface in a year than is contained in all remaining reserves of fossil fuels and uranium. And to the inventor the financial and reputational rewards would be extravagant—which explains why billions of dollars are flowing into battery research.

Monday, January 12, 2015

Global Warming And Free-Speech Hypocrisy

Let’s all decry Islamic jihadists’ murders of Charlie Hebdo writers and cartoonists in Paris.  Meanwhile let’s suppress open discussion of junk-science ideas such as global warming.

Read these links, courtesy of Benny Peiser:


Charlie: Challenging free speech


Crackdown ordered on climate-change sceptics


Climate change scientist claims he has been forced from new job in ‘McCarthy’-style witch-hunt by academics across the world


Global warming: the chilling effect on free speech

Thursday, December 25, 2014

Liberal-Progressive Lies Promoting Black Thuggery

Read Heather Mac Donald’s
The Big Lie of the Anti-Cop Left Turns Lethal
The real story behind the murder of two NYPD officers

Sunday, December 21, 2014

Caring Liberal-Progressivism And Anti-Semitism

Ben Stein outlines the growing, irrational racism of liberal-progressivism, in the United States.  That racism, anti-semitism and anti-Israelism, is even more virulent in Europe.

In part liberal-progressivism’s racism is resurgence of scape-goating, blaming one’s failures and miseries on a convenient group of “others.” 

Liberal-progressivism’s across-the-board failure is manifest in the miseries of high unemployment rates here and in Europe; in high rates of violent crime; in never-before-experienced high rates of illegitimate births and single-parent families; in the murder of millions of unborn babies; in current generations of students far less well educated than earlier generations.  Meanwhile the birth rate in the United States (except among immigrant groups) and in Europe has been falling and is now below the rate necessary to keep populations from shrinking in total.  Given the unsupportable costs of welfare-state hand-outs, we and Europe are approaching a point at which the dwindling numbers of those working to produce economic goods will be outnumbered and overwhelmed by the non-working beneficiaries of welfare programs.

This dismal record since the 1960s is the direct result of liberal-progressivism’s hell-bent campaign since the French Revolution to destroy all of the religious morality and social customs that are essential to creating and maintaining social and political order.

Wednesday, December 17, 2014

Society’s Rights

The lectern used by Senator Dianne Feinstein to announce the Senate Intelligence Committee’s report on the CIA’s interrogation methods bore a label declaring “human rights first.”  Human rights, however, depend entirely upon preservation of the political power and social culture that proclaims and supports them.  Enhanced interrogation methods after 9/11 were essential to that end.

Monday, December 15, 2014

Rioting Mobs Victimized By Black Capitalists

Mike Adam’s take on the riots, looting, and burning in Ferguson and elsewhere: truth is an impediment to destabilizing political and social order to further liberal-progressivism.

 

Wednesday, December 10, 2014

Political Posturing Costs Lives

It’s difficult to escape the conclusion that the unilateral Democrat-Socialist Party condemnation of CIA post-9/11 interrogation tactics is anything other than a flip-flop of opinion aimed solely at diverting attention from the Obama administration’s continually unfolding scandals at the IRS and revelations of lying about ObamaCare, as well as public rage over the president’s imperial enactments of immigration regulation and unauthorized changes to ObamaCare implementation.

Read Putting the “Torture Report” In Historical and Moral Context, Peter Wehner’s article in the Commentary website.

Tuesday, December 02, 2014

What’s The Real Deal In Ferguson?

We are confronted with a fundamental Constitutional issue: protecting the rights of individuals against mindless mobs in the streets.

His True Colors

Obama is our first black president, but he is also the first president who deliberately and repeatedly has played the race card to stoke class warfare and foment racial turmoil, purely for domestic political gains.  His conduct appears to be motivated by the same liberal-progressive-socialist urge to destroy our social and political fabric that motivated his friend and advisor Bill Ayers. 

Ayers, it will be recalled, was featured in a New York Times article, published ironically on 9/11, the day the Pentagon and the World Trade Towers were bombed by Al Queda.  In the Times article Ayers is quoted as stating the he had no regrets about organizing the student-radical Weatherman Underground, an organization that bombed public buildings and robbed and murdered innocent civilians, all in the name of “Death to Amerika; bring the [Vietnam] war home, and ice the pigs.” 

Obama and his racist Attorney General Eric Holder clearly absorbed Ayers’s animosity toward “the pigs” (police).

Read Obama’s Ferguson Dog and Pony Show, Jonathan Tobin’s article posted on the Commentary website.

Sunday, November 30, 2014

Liberal-Progressives Attempt To Shred NYC’s Social Fabric

After successive law-and-order administrations, New York City has a class-warfare mayor.  Mayor de Blasio turns his Sandinista-trained, communist revolutionary tactics toward reversing NYC’s hard won, major reductions in its crime rate.  But he may not have the political skill needed to destroy public order entirely.

Identity Politics Crashes at City Hall
Rachel Noerdlinger’s exit highlights the de Blasio team’s intellectual emptiness.